So Labour have closed the polling gap to 9%.
Admittedly when a party celebrates a 9% deficit that show how badly they've been doing, but it could indicate a Labour fightback. However looking at the record of ICM polls I can't help noticing that Labour have closed the gap during the last 2 Decembers and it has opened up again by spring.
Come the election I can't really believe that the voters will decide that Labour's performance merits another 5 years in power, so I'm predicting that this will be another false dawn although if it encourages an earlier election then it is a good thing.
Who the hell thinks that the 'season of goodwill' applies to the worst political party in the UK? And more to the point, why..?
ReplyDelete9% merely means a Tory majority of about 40, rather than say of 100.
ReplyDelete" the worst political party in the UK? "
ReplyDeleteI don't know about that- I'd place them ahead of the Cornish nationalists.
Quiet Man- eah but they are now in the territory where just a small boost would take us into hung parliament territory.
The publicity around the PBR will have helped Labour, and I'm sure Zac Goldsmith being in the headlines has sparked a few Labour core voters into action.
ReplyDeleteI thought the polling suggested that voters were unimpressed with the PBR though.
ReplyDeleteCameron should be way ahead and the reason he is not is a disgrace.
ReplyDelete'Cameron should be way ahead and the reason he is not is a disgrace.'
ReplyDeleteGiven the quality of some of his front benchers I doubt if Cameron is right to assume he should be 'way ahead'. Nulab is in a terrible state, with its 'internal contradictions' now coming home to roost. However in their place the Cameroons give us-
1. George Osborne, who looks & sounds like a spivvy Mayfair estate agent, and seemingly has an economic policy to match
2. Theresa May, who is just plain thick
3. Michael Gove; this century's version of Dave Willetts. He has several bright ideas on Education (as Willetts did on Health)but has the ineradicable air of the school swot about him- and on foreign policy is a raging neo-Blairite NeoCon.
If the Tories assume they are home 'n' dry, a nasty shock could await them.