There is trouble in Libya but unlike his fellow North African dictators I think Gadaffi will survive. The Egyptian and Tunisian revolts succeeded because the armies did not act decisively to end them and the dictators were unwilling to order the crowds to be massacred. Ben Ali and Mubarak will both face an ignominious retirement and may face some level of prosecution but they will probably simply remain exiled in formerly friendly countries.
Gadaffi does not have this option, his past sponsorship of terrorism against the West means that once he is out of power he will be pursued relentlessly for those crimes by the United States and various European countries. That's if he isn't lynched by his own people.
This gives Gadaffi a strong incentive to go to any lengths to remain in power.
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